FiveThirtyEight’s Playoff Model Doesn’t Paint A Good Picture For The Big Ten, Regardless Of Today’s Result

first_imgUrban Meyer and Jim Harbaugh meet after a game.ANN ARBOR, MI – NOVEMBER 25: Urban Meyer head coach of the Ohio State Buckeyes and Jim Harbaugh head coach of the Michigan Wolverines shake hands after the game. Ohio State won 31 to 20 on November 25, 2017 at Michigan Stadium in Ann Arbor, Michigan. (Photo by Gregory Shamus/Getty Images)Ohio State and Michigan will square off on Saturday, and the winner will take the Big Ten East and earn a spot in the league’s title game next week against Northwestern. A College Football Playoff spot could be on the line too – maybe.Michigan currently holds the No. 4 spot in the College Football Playoff rankings, and many believe that if the Wolverines win out, they’ll stay there. But FiveThirtyEight’s playoff predictor model doesn’t see it that way.In fact, FiveThirtyEight projects that both the Wolverines and Buckeyes would need help – even if they won out.If Clemson, Alabama, Notre Dame, Oklahoma and Michigan win out, the Wolverines have the lowest odds of getting in. Ditto if you replace Michigan with Ohio State.Michigan's odds on 538.Ohio State's odds on 538.FiveThirtyEight isn’t affiliated with selection committee, but their model has been pretty accurate in the past.Essentially, it’s predicting that even if Michigan wins out, Oklahoma will pass it in the rankings. The Sooners will play Texas in the Big 12 title game next week.If that did happen, you could expect Michigan fans to riot. There’s no way they think that a 12-1 Wolverines squad that won the Big Ten and knocked off Ohio State should be left out.It’s going to be an interesting two weeks.last_img

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